Rapidan Energy Group warns a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure could trigger a recession rivaling 2008 as Brent crude surges nearly 40% above pre-closure levels.

The present tranquility will not last.

Acccording to the analysis by Rapidan Energy Group, if the Strait reopens in July, an average oil demand reduction of 2.6 million barrels a day and the spot-market price for…