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Trump: US-Iran nuclear deal talks in final stages, oil price spike unlikely
Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.
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Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran with security team
Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 39.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 31.5% YES.
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Trump convenes Situation Room meeting as US-Iran nuclear deal stalls
Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.
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Iran proposes long truce, Hormuz reopening in US nuclear talks
Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE
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Iran proposes truce, Strait of Hormuz reopening amid nuclear talks
Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.
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Trump hints at further US military action against Iran amid ongoing conflict
Trump hints at further US military action against Iran. Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026 at 11.5% YES.
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Iran tightens Strait of Hormuz control amid US-Iran diplomatic tensions
Iran tightens control over the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 48% YES.
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Trump delays Iran strike at Gulf states' request amid rising tensions
Trump delays Iran strike at Gulf states' request. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 45% YES.
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Trump delays Iran attack after Qatar request, oil prices may rise
Trump delays Iran attack after Qatar request. WTI crude oil prices reaching $130 by May 2026 at 10.5% YES.
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Iran nuclear test raises tensions, impacts US-Iran deal prospects
Iran's nuclear test raises regional tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 28.5% YES.
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Trump warns of potential increased military action against Iran
Trump warns of potential military action against Iran. Diplomatic talks with Iran by May 22 at 0.9% YES.
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Trump: US-Iran nuclear deal talks in final stages, oil price spike unlikely
Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.
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Oil prices fall over 6% as Trump says Iran deal negotiations near completion
Oil prices plunged over 6% after Trump said Iran deal talks were near completion, easing inflation fears and softening the dollar in a potential boost for crypto.