Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.

Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 39.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 31.5% YES.

Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.

Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE

Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.

Trump hints at further US military action against Iran. Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Iran tightens control over the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 48% YES.

Trump delays Iran strike at Gulf states' request. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 45% YES.

Trump delays Iran attack after Qatar request. WTI crude oil prices reaching $130 by May 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Iran's nuclear test raises regional tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 28.5% YES.

Trump warns of potential military action against Iran. Diplomatic talks with Iran by May 22 at 0.9% YES.

Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.

Oil prices plunged over 6% after Trump said Iran deal talks were near completion, easing inflation fears and softening the dollar in a potential boost for crypto.