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Trump: US-Iran nuclear deal talks in final stages, oil price spike unlikely
Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.
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Iran proposes long truce, Hormuz reopening in US nuclear talks
Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE
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Trump delays Iran attack after Qatar request, oil prices may rise
Trump delays Iran attack after Qatar request. WTI crude oil prices reaching $130 by May 2026 at 10.5% YES.
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Trump: US-Iran nuclear deal talks in final stages, oil price spike unlikely
Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.
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Trump weighs military options against Iran amid rising tensions
Trump is considering military options against Iran, but the market signals a US invasion at 22.5% YES, while WTI crude hitting $110 in May 2026 is at 32% YES.
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Trump warns of potential military action as Iran nuclear deal talks stall
Trump warns of potential military action as Iran nuclear deal talks stall. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 31.5% YES.
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Trump's strikes on Iran, Venezuela complicate US-Iran peace, nuclear deals
Trump's military strikes on Iran and Venezuela decrease confidence in a US-Iran peace deal. Nuclear deal by May 31 at 17.3% YES.
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Trump close to signing significant nuclear deal with Iran: Axios
Trump is close to signing a nuclear deal with Iran. Deal by June 30 priced at 46% YES, and before 2027 at 80% YES.
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US and Iran near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, lift oil sanctions
US and Iran are nearing a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lift oil sanctions. Agreement by May 26 at 70% YES.