US plans military escalation in Iran amid high tensions. Iran leadership status by end of 2026 at 3.3% YES.

China rejects US sanctions over Iran, increasing tensions. Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 16.5% YES.

US Navy strikes Iranian supertanker, raising regional tensions. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 26.5% YES, Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization at 37.5% YE

US plans military escalation in Iran amid high tensions. Iran leadership status by end of 2026 at 3.3% YES.

Saudi Arabia and UAE conduct secret attacks in Iran, raising tensions. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 37.5% YES; US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at

Iran's leadership change market rises to 34.5% YES for a transition by December 31. Leadership change by May 31 at 7.5% YES.

CENTCOM signals decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. Deal at 7.5% YES.

Israel and the US consider renewed military attacks on Iran. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.

US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.

Khamenei's death raises speculation about Iran's leadership change. Leadership change by December 31 at 34.5% YES.

Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.