## Market Snapshot
Israel-Iran Permanent Peace Deal market shows a 16.5% YES probability for the June 30, 2026, deadline, slightly up from 16% a day ago. The Iranian Demands Trump Will Agree To market remains inactive. WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 market reflects heightened expectations for price increases, with a 46.5% YES probability for hitting $110.
## Key Takeaways
– China’s rejection of US sanctions appears to increase geopolitical tensions, suggesting a decrease in the likelihood of a peace deal between Israel and Iran. – The stance taken by China may indicate a hardening of positions, suggesting Trump’s agreement to Iranian demands is less likely. – The potential for escalated tensions could indicate higher WTI Crude Oil prices, as market pricing shows increased expectations for price disruptions.
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