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US rejects Iran's 14-point proposal amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.
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Iran maintains control over Strait of Hormuz, impacting shipping traffic
Iran maintains control over the Strait of Hormuz, affecting shipping traffic. 20 ships transiting by May 31 at 61% YES.
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Saudi Arabia, UAE conduct secret attacks in Iran, escalating regional tensions
Saudi Arabia and UAE conduct secret attacks in Iran, raising tensions. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 37.5% YES; US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at
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US Centcom redirects 70 vessels amid Hormuz blockade enforcement
US Centcom redirected 70 vessels amid Hormuz blockade enforcement. Blockade lifted by May 31 at 25.5% YES.
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30 China-linked vessels transit Strait of Hormuz under Iranian supervision
Thirty China-linked vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian supervision. Transit of 20 ships by May 31 at 64% YES.
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CENTCOM signals readiness as US-Iran nuclear deal prospects dim
CENTCOM signals decreased likelihood of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31. Deal at 7.5% YES.
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Chinese vessels exit Strait of Hormuz amid Beijing's opposition to Iranian tolls
Chinese vessels exit the Strait of Hormuz amid opposition to Iranian tolls. Strait traffic by May 15 at 0.1% YES.
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Iran imposes $1M toll on Strait of Hormuz transits, impacting global oil flow
Iran imposes a $1M toll on Strait of Hormuz transits, affecting shipping. At least 20 ships to transit by May 31 at 68% YES.
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US-Iran tensions ease, WTI crude oil price predictions fall for May 2026
US-Iran tensions ease with assurances on the Strait of Hormuz. WTI Crude Oil at $150 in May 2026 now at 2.2% YES.
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Trump warns Iran: negotiate or face destruction amid nuclear tensions
Trump warns Iran to negotiate or face destruction. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 55.5% YES, while Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 17.5% YES.
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Iran ships transit Hormuz freely amid US blockade tensions
Iran ships transit Hormuz freely amid US tensions. US blockade lift by May 31, 2026 at 23.5% YES.
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US rejects Iran's 14-point proposal amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.
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Trump signals openness to 20-year limit on Iran nuclear program
Trump shows willingness for a 20-year limit on Iran's nuclear program. Deal before 2027 now at 61.5% YES.
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Trump rejects Iran nuclear proposal, dims deal prospects
Trump rejects Iran's nuclear proposal, reducing deal prospects. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30 at 28% YES.