Consumers have tapped surplus oil-on-water and near-record stocks to mitigate supply losses from Hormuz's near-closure. But such draws are becoming unsustainable.

The IEA's oil market report for May noted that global oil supply declined by a further 1.8 million barrels per day in April.

The International Energy Agency says the oil market is likely to remain in deficit until the final quarter of the year, as disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz continue to…