Political analyst, Henry Shield, has claimed that President Bola Tinubu may struggle to replicate the number of votes he secured in the 2023 presidential election, predicting that a majority of Nigerians would not vote for the president if an opinion survey were conducted.
Shield made the claim during an interview on Vanguard’s Politics Hub, where he was asked to provide evidence for his assertion that Tinubu would not secure as many votes in 2027 as he did in the 2023 election.
According to him, his prediction was based on what he described as consultations, surveys and interactions with Nigerians across different segments of society.
“We do market consultation, market surveys, we do street surveys. We go out and we engage with the people, and I can tell you, sample 1,000 Nigerians, 900 of them are not going to vote for Tinubu,” Shield said.
He challenged media organisations and other stakeholders to independently test his claim through a nationwide opinion survey, stressing that such an exercise would provide a clearer picture of voters’ current preferences ahead of the 2027 election.
