June 17, 2026
By Omeiza Ajayi
ABUJA — President Bola Ahmed Tinubu is entering the 2027 presidential race as the clear frontrunner, not necessarily because of widespread popularity, but because his opponents remain divided, according to a new forecast by political consulting and data analysis firm CellHub.
The firm projects the president as the favourite to secure a second term, arguing that its assessment is based less on his approval ratings — currently estimated in the low 30 per cent range — and more on the fractured state of the opposition and Nigeria’s winner-takes-all electoral system.
According to CellHub, Nigeria’s electoral framework, which awards victory to the candidate with the highest number of valid votes rather than an outright majority, gives a significant advantage to a united ruling party facing a fragmented opposition.
