The current splintered opposition cannot challenge Tinubu in 2027, argues JACK OKUDE
Why is there a debate about who will win the 2027 Presidential election? It is no brainer. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu will trounce all the splintered opposition candidates by a very wide margin. Each time I hear some people argue on this matter, I shudder at the gross lack of political acuity among some Nigerians.
For whatever reason, the same opposition that has been holding midnight meetings, organising conferences, and strategising at hurriedly arranged townhall meetings, has fallen apart. Splintered. Disintegrated. Dismembered. Like a pack of cards, the opposition has crashed with a heavy thud, and fragmented into shards of localised hegemonies. And if you consider that presidential elections in Nigeria are not won by localised votes along ethnic and religious divides, you will be spared the trauma of having to figure out who takes the cake in the 2027 Presidential election. Tinubu will.
At the moment, Tinubu is contesting against about 10 opposition candidates. Even for the purpose of realistic expectation, we apply a filter and reduce the crowd of opposition Presidential candidates to just five, it still does not appear, both mathematically and logically, that the opposition in their present state will pose any challenge. A divided camp, army, politicians, family or any group for that matter, cannot run over the enemy in a contest. Be it election, real war, or just an inter-school contest, lack of unity in one camp becomes the chink in that camp’s armour. Disunity is the chink in the armour of the opposition. And this counts in Tinubu’s advantage.
