Saturday, August 15th 2026 - 01:01 UTC

The figure coincides with an improvement for the Liberal Party candidate in voting intention. In a potential runoff he would take 40% against the president's 43%

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro registers a 54% rejection rate among Brazilian voters, two points above the 52% recorded by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to the Quaest poll released on Friday, two days before campaigning officially opens for the October 4 elections.

The figure coincides with an improvement for the Liberal Party candidate in voting intention. In a potential runoff he would take 40% against the president's 43%. It is the third consecutive measurement in which the gap has narrowed: in July Quaest recorded eight points of difference, in early August five, and now three. With a margin of error of two points, the current gap sits at the edge of statistical significance.

Measurements differ markedly depending on the pollster. The CNT/MDA survey, with fieldwork from August 5 to 9, gave Lula 48% against the senator's 39.1%, a gap of almost nine points, against the three points Quaest returns with fieldwork from August 10 to 13.