Brazil · Politics

Key Facts

Poll lead The CNT/MDA poll (Aug 5–9, 2026, 2,002 interviews, MoE 2.2pp) shows Lula at 42.4% vs Flávio Bolsonaro’s 28.7% in the first round.

Runoff edge In a two-person runoff, Lula leads Flávio Bolsonaro 48.0% to 39.1%, with 10.6% blank/null and 2.3% undecided.

Other names Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) takes 4.0%, Romeu Zema (Novo) 3.3%, Renan Santos (Missão) 2.8%, Samara Martins (UP) 1.6%, Augusto Cury (Avante) 1.2%, and Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO) 0.9%.