Rio Times · Analysis

Key Facts

—Trigger On 7 July, Iran struck three commercial ships near Hormuz, including a Qatari LNG tanker and a Saudi crude carrier.

—US response Washington launched fresh strikes and revoked Iran’s oil-sales licence, declaring the interim ceasefire effectively over.

—Oil Brent jumped to around $76 a barrel in after-hours trade, with the IMF pencilling in an $89 average for 2026.