Jul 6, 2026 – 5.00amEconomists have all but ruled out an interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia before well into next year, while the chance of another rate increase remains a line-ball call as the central bank waits to see what happens with inflation.A very slim majority of the 32 economists polled for The Australian Financial Review’s latest quarterly survey said the cash rate had peaked at 4.35 per cent. That’s after three back-to-back rate rises at the start of the year before the RBA held fire at its June board meeting.Subscribe to gift this articleGift 5 articles to anyone you choose each month when you subscribe.Subscribe nowAlready a subscriber? Fetching latest articles
No rate cuts until 2027 as a fourth rise looms, say economists
Despite the housing slump caused by the recent CGT changes, the Financial Review’s quarterly poll finds that another rate increase may well be on the cards.






