The USMNT has already done its job. After dismantling Paraguay 4-1 on June 12 and handling Australia 2-0 a week later, the Americans locked up first place in Group D before their final group match even kicks off. When they face Turkiye at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California on June 25 at 7:00 PM PT, the result will matter approximately as much as a preseason friendly.
The match nobody needs, but crypto markets love
Polymarket, the prediction platform that has become the go-to barometer for event-driven crypto speculation, has already seen $2.56 million in volume on the Turkiye vs. USA outcome alone. The platform’s odds currently peg a US win probability at roughly 50.5%, which feels about right for a game where the Americans will likely rotate their squad ahead of their July 1 knockout-round fixture.
That $2.56 million figure is notable precisely because this is a dead rubber. Neither team is playing for survival. Turkiye finishes last in the group regardless. The USMNT is already through as group winners. Yet millions of dollars are flowing into outcome predictions anyway.
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