https://www.nydailynews.com/2026/06/13/micah-lasher-ny12-candidate-profile/

Micah Lasher is leading the New York US House 12 Democratic primary with 39.2% of the vote, according to Decision Desk HQ. The preliminary results place Lasher ahead in a highly competitive race to succeed retiring incumbent Jerry Nadler. This development comes amid a crowded field of high-profile candidates, including Jack Schlossberg and George Conway. Prediction markets had previously estimated Lasher’s chances of winning the nomination at around 72–73%, indicating that these early results are consistent with expectations of a strong performance by Lasher. The primary election results are closely watched as they can significantly impact the dynamics leading up to the general election in November.

Key Takeaways

Lasher’s lead with 39.2% of the vote appears to reinforce his position as the frontrunner in the primary.

Market pricing suggests a decreased likelihood of Jack Schlossberg winning, given Lasher’s substantial lead.