The US and Iran are in discussions to electronically sign a memorandum of understanding as early as Wednesday, a move that would activate provisions related to the Strait of Hormuz and mark the most significant diplomatic breakthrough between the two nations in months.

The MOU, which has been taking shape through back-channel mediation by Pakistan and Qatar, would extend a ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping traffic, and launch a 60-day window of technical negotiations focused on Iran’s nuclear program. Crypto markets have already started pricing in the optimism.

What the deal actually covers

Roughly a fifth of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway between Iran and the Arabian Peninsula.

The MOU framework addresses this directly. Its core provisions include reopening the strait to commercial shipping, extending the existing ceasefire between the two sides, and establishing a structured 60-day negotiation period centered on Iran’s nuclear activities.