Market Snapshot
The “US-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Predictions” market is currently priced at 68.3% YES for no meeting occurring by June 30, 2026, up from 65% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the “US Invasion of Iran” market shows a 21.5% YES probability, rising from 18% over the same period.
Key Takeaways
The continuation of air attacks appears to decrease the likelihood of US-Iran diplomatic meetings occurring by June 30, 2026.
Increased military actions suggest that the Iranian regime’s survival is consistent with a YES outcome.
