Market Snapshot

The “Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?” market currently shows 28.5% YES, up from 14% 24 hours ago. Meanwhile, the “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” market is priced at 20.5% YES, showing slight increases over the past week.

Key Takeaways

Kuwait’s activation of air defenses suggests heightened regional tensions following U.S. strikes on Iranian military targets.

The market appears to interpret these developments as increasing the likelihood of further military escalation, including possible airspace closures.