The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the dominant position in California's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary due to his surge in recent polling to a clear lead among Democratic voters, who form the state's majority electorate. His background as former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary has delivered strong name recognition and endorsements from labor unions, progressive organizations, and elected officials, accelerating after other Democratic contenders exited the race. Republican Steve Hilton follows as the top alternative, aided by a Trump endorsement, while self-funded Democrat Tom Steyer and lower-polling candidates trail in final surveys. This consolidation and incumbency-like advantages in a Democratic-leaning primary explain the wide gap in trader-implied probabilities heading into election day.The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETVolume$387,265End DateJun 2, 2026Market OpenedApr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETThe non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
