Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.

In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polling ahead of California's June 2 top-two primary shows Democrat Xavier Becerra leading with roughly 23-25% support, followed closely by Republican Steve Hilton at 20-23% and Democrat Tom Steyer at 15-19%, with other candidates trailing. Trump's endorsement of Hilton has consolidated Republican support, sharply reducing the chance that two Republicans advance. The Democratic field remains split among multiple contenders, yet Becerra's recent surge after key withdrawals has positioned him to secure one of the two spots in most scenarios. These dynamics have produced strong trader consensus around a Democrat-Republican pairing while leaving modest room for a Democrat-Democrat outcome if Steyer overtakes Hilton and minimal probability for Republican-Republican advancement.The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETVolume$150,063End DateJun 2, 2026Market OpenedDec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETThe non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.