Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polling shows Democrat Xavier Becerra leading the June 2 top-two primary for California governor, followed closely by Republican Steve Hilton, with Democrat Tom Steyer also competitive. California's nonpartisan primary system advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party affiliation. A crowded Democratic field has fragmented support among likely voters, while Republicans have consolidated somewhat behind Hilton following a key endorsement. Late-May surveys from PPIC and UC Berkeley indicate Becerra at 23-25% and Hilton at 20-21%, with the remaining candidates trailing in the low to mid-teens. Voter interest remains high ahead of the election, which will resolve the top-two matchup.The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ETThe non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.