Market Snapshot
Xavier Becerra’s first-place finish market sits at 78.5% YES, down from 82% 24 hours ago. The “one Democrat, one Republican advances” sub-market prices at 75.5% YES, while the “both Democrats advance” scenario sits at 22.5% YES.
Key Takeaways
Pricing appears consistent with Becerra advancing, though a modest pullback from 82% to 78.5% suggests some uncertainty as results approach.
The 75.5% YES on a split-party outcome suggests market participants view a Republican — likely Chad Bianco or Steve Hilton — as likely to claim the second general-election slot.
