Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra holds the strongest trader consensus in the 2026 California gubernatorial race due to his recent polling surge and consolidation of Democratic support ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Multiple May surveys show Becerra leading or tied among Democrats at around 20-31%, outpacing Tom Steyer and Katie Porter as the crowded field fragments the party vote. This dynamic has kept Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco competitive for advancement but leaves limited paths for them in the November general, where California’s partisan lean favors Democrats. Recent campaign activity, including endorsements from labor and progressive groups, has reinforced Becerra’s frontrunner status without major shifts in the final week before ballots close.This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Market Opened: Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ETVolume$25,493,394End DateNov 3, 2026Market OpenedOct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ETThis market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.