Africa’s economic momentum is coming under fresh pressure from the Middle East crisis, with rising fuel, fertiliser and food prices now threatening growth across one of the world’s fastest-growing regions.
The warning came Tuesday from the African Development Bank, which said Africa’s economy is projected to grow by 4.2% in 2026, slightly lower than the 4.4% recorded in 2025.
The slowdown may look small, but for millions of Africans already battling inflation, currency weakness and rising living costs, the consequences could be severe.
The AfDB said geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions linked to the Middle East crisis are increasing import costs for many African countries, especially those heavily dependent on imported fuel, fertiliser and food.
“The impact of this shock on growth and macroeconomic stability will depend on the duration of the supply chain disruptions and their effects on global energy and fertiliser prices,” the bank said in its 2026 African Economic Outlook released at its annual meetings in Brazzaville.
