## Market Snapshot
Ukraine Peace Deal by June 30 market is currently priced at 5.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago. Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Agreement by December 31, 2026, is priced at 43% YES, showing a slight increase from 42% in the past 24 hours.
## Key Takeaways
– Russia’s warning to U.S. citizens suggests escalating tensions, consistent with decreased chances of a peace deal by June 30. – The planned systematic strikes on Kyiv appear to reduce the likelihood of a ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026. – Market activity reflects concerns over ongoing hostilities, indicating a prevailing sentiment against diplomatic resolution.
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