The Federal Reserve just reminded everyone that the rate-hike playbook isn’t collecting dust on a shelf. Minutes from the April 28-29 FOMC meeting reveal that a majority of officials are open to raising interest rates again if inflation refuses to fall back toward the central bank’s 2% target.

The key phrase buried in the minutes: “some policy firming would likely become appropriate” if inflation stays persistently elevated.

What the minutes actually say

The language from the April meeting is conditional but pointed. The 2% inflation target remains the line in the sand. As long as price growth stays above that threshold with no clear downward trajectory, the committee is signaling it will lean hawkish.

The committee didn’t vote to raise rates at the April meeting. But when a majority of voting members collectively flag a willingness to tighten further, it’s forward guidance dressed in meeting-minutes clothing.