## Market Snapshot

The market for a permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 11.5% YES, down from 13% 24 hours ago. The market for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting shows no active volume at present.

## Key Takeaways

– Trump’s statement suggests an increased likelihood of further US military action against Iran, impacting peace deal expectations. – Market pricing reflects decreased confidence in a near-term US-Iran diplomatic meeting, consistent with heightened tensions. – The statement does not directly affect the market for the US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium, as no new information was provided.

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