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Under a scenario of achieving a "fragile peace with concessions" in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year, over half of the current number of Ukrainian refugees will remain in Europe until the end of 2029.
Source: a report by the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), as reported by European Pravda
Details: One of the research scenarios models a situation in which Russia retains de facto control over the temporarily occupied territories, the level of investment in Ukrainian government-controlled territories remains at a medium or high level, and temporary protection status for Ukrainian refugees in the EU ends in March 2027.
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