## Market Snapshot
The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 7% YES, down from 10% 24 hours ago. The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” market shows a 2% YES probability, up slightly from 1% the previous day.
## Key Takeaways
– The IDF’s consideration of expanding military operations in Lebanon appears consistent with decreased likelihood of Israel’s withdrawal. – The market suggests a reduced probability of a ceasefire extension, given the escalation in military engagement. – The news does not appear to affect markets related to Iranian military actions, as it lacks direct relevance.
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