It's the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets' odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. senate primary in Michigan.

The Wisconsin primary for governor is a race between progressive and establishment Democrats, as democratic socialist Francesca Hong tries to upset David Crowley. Polls open at 7…

Was El-Sayed a fluke? Can Hong come back from “cancel Thanksgiving”? There will be lots to unpack from today’s Minnesota and Wisconsin primaries.