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The Minutes Myth
The myth is that prediction markets reprice within minutes, fast enough that the number on your screen already holds the news. The record disagrees…
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The Minutes Myth
The myth is that prediction markets reprice within minutes, fast enough that the number on your screen already holds the news. The record disagrees…
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Polymarket takes roughly 80 minutes to fully reprice after major news events
Polymarket takes roughly 80 minutes to fully reprice after news events, with research showing a systematic underreaction coefficient of 0.64 to