Iran's leaders believe that sooner or later the United States will have to accede to their control over the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran prioritizes control of the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31, 2026 at 16.5% YES.

Iran asserts control over the Strait of Hormuz amid negotiations. U.S.-Iran agreement by August 15 at 69.5% YES.

Iran believes military pressure will force the United States to accept its control. The nation is betting that time and global energy prices favor its strategy. Iran's leaders…

Iran nears a deal on the Strait of Hormuz but won't open it alone. Agreement by August 31 at 61% YES.