US Treasury yield curve shifts indicate a potential Fed rate hike pause. Fed pause in next three decisions at 38% YES.

Treasury yields hit a 19-year high of 5.24% after the Fed held rates steady. Fed pause in next three meetings at 42% YES.

Treasury yields rise as Fed officials support a rate hike. Rate hike by September 2026 at 53.5% YES, by October 2026 at 60.5% YES, in 2026 at 66.5% YES.