Fed holds rates at 3.75% as traders price 61% odds of a September hike. Warsh talks inflation, yields, and AI capex.

Polymarket and Myriad prediction markets show 27% odds of a July Fed rate hike, rising double digits in 24 hours. Here's what it means for

The bar for a U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike this week is likely higher than rate futures markets suggest, owing not only to...