“Climate change isn't just making malaria worse or better—it’s moving it,” says co-author Tamma Carleton, assistant professor in UC Berkeley’s Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics and faculty head of research for the Climate Impact Lab. “Whether a place sees elevated malaria risks or reduced burdens under climate change depends on how hot it is today. We see relief in the current hotspots and new risk nearly everywhere else.”

Climate and econometric modelling reveal that human-induced climate change is shifting the burden of childhood malaria in Africa.

In a new study, Yale researchers found that hot temperatures and extreme precipitation are probably increasing the prevalence of malaria in parts of Africa.