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Bond traders see over 33% chance of Fed rate hike at upcoming meeting

Bond traders see over a 33% chance of a Fed rate hike at the upcoming meeting. Rate hike by July priced at 38.5% YES.

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decrypt.co

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cryptobriefing.com1 g fa

Bond traders see over 33% chance of Federal Reserve rate hike this week

Bond traders price 33% odds of a Fed rate hike at July 28-29; oil prices are the main driver. Rising rates tighten liquidity and redirect capital away from volatile assets, pressuring tech valuations and startup runway for AI.

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decrypt.co9 h fa

Prediction Market Traders Brace for Surprise Fed Rate Hike - Decrypt

Prediction markets now price 26.65% odds of 25bp Fed hike by July 29—up ~10 points in 24h per Polymarket—despite June inflation at 3.5%. Rate increases slow venture funding; managers expect tighter budgets and startup valuation pressure.