The duration of the conflict may matter more than the conflict itself. JPMorgan estimates that every additional month of disruptions adds roughly $7–8/bbl to Brent.

The duration of the conflict may matter more than the conflict itself. JPMorgan estimates that every additional month of disruptions adds roughly $7–8/bbl to Brent.

Each additional month adds roughly $7-8/bbl to Brent, lifting monthly average prices to around $114/bbl if disruptions extend to three months... In the previous round of…