Ukraine halts Black Sea port operations after Russian strikes escalate conflict. Ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026 at 35.5% YES.

Ukraine drone strikes disrupt Russian logistics in Crimea, prompting a state of emergency. Ukraine recaptures Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

Russian army strikes Ukraine's Odesa port. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.