Houthis deploy missiles and drones in the Red Sea amid rising tensions. Military action against Israel by July 31, 2026, at 9.5% YES.

Iran launches missiles and drones targeting Gulf nations. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 63.5% YES.

Houthi rebels block Saudi shipping in the Red Sea. Targeting shipping by July 31 at 49.5% YES; by August 31 at 62.5% YES.