Iran's IRGC vows to target U.S. and Israeli commanders in their homes. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YES.

Iran strikes U.S. bases in Jordan and Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 62.5% YES.

Iran launches missiles at US targets, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 57% YES.

IRGC claims a strike on a US hub in Syria amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 38.5% YES, by August 31 at 53.5% YES.

Iran warns of strikes on US forces near its islands. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31 at 1.8% YES, by August 31 at 7.0% YES.

IRGC strikes US radar and bases in Kuwait, signaling escalation. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 51% YES.

Iran launches missiles and drones at U.S. positions, raising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 24.5% YES.

Iran threatens to bomb its own territory if U.S. forces occupy it. U.S.-Iran deal including reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES.

Iran activates air defenses in Tehran amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 30.5% YES, by August 31 at 44% YES.

Iran redeploys air defenses in Tehran amid US-Israel tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 46.5% YES.

Iran activated air defenses in Isfahan amid US strikes. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 29% YES, by August 31 at 44% YES.

Iran's IRGC vows to target U.S. and Israeli commanders in their homes. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YES.