Ukraine strikes Russian refinery and oil tankers in the Black Sea. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 21% YES.

Ukraine targets Russian oil infrastructure in a 40-day campaign. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026, at 21.5% YES.

Russia strikes military targets in Kyiv and Ukrainian ports. Russia enters Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.