Iran's IRGC targeted the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, escalating the conflict. Military action against a Gulf state by July 9 at 99.9% YES.

IRGC attacks US base in Kuwait with missiles and drones. Iranian military action against Gulf states on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Iran's IRGC fired 10-12 ballistic missiles at Jordan's Al-Azraq Air Base on July 9, 2026, escalating the Iran-US conflict after a ceasefire collapsed.

Iranian army targets US military assets in Bahrain. Final nuclear deal by August 13 at 2.1% YES.