US strikes near a children's cancer hospital in Ahvaz escalate tensions. IAEA visits to nuclear sites by December 31 at 19% YES.

US strikes an anti-aircraft missile base near Iran's nuclear plant. Military action by Iran against a Gulf state on July 9 at 46.4% YES.

US airstrikes reported near Saravan amid Iran conflict escalation. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 34% YES.

US strikes two locations in Iran's Bushehr county. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 18.5% YES.