US strikes near a children's cancer hospital in Ahvaz escalate tensions. IAEA visits to nuclear sites by December 31 at 19% YES.

US strikes in southwest Iran kill one and injure four. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 24.5% YES.

US strike near Omidiyeh airport escalates conflict with Iran. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 7.5% YES.