Iran conducts seventh drone strike against U.S. bases in the Gulf. IAEA visit to Iranian nuclear sites by December 31 at 22.5% YES.

Iran launches retaliatory strikes on Gulf states amid war escalation. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YES.

Iran attacks Prince Hassan Air Base in Jordan, escalating the 2026 conflict. Further Iranian military action against Gulf states at 43.5% YES.