Trump stresses military pressure to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. Normal traffic by August 31 at 11.5% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 19.5% YES.

US Central Command claims the Strait of Hormuz is open amid the Iran War. Traffic returns to normal by July at 0.1% YES.

US conducts military strikes against Iran. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

Iran reaffirms control over the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Normal traffic by August 31 at 17.5% YES.

Trump demands countries pay for defending the Strait of Hormuz. Blockade on Iran by December 31 at 57.5% YES.