Iran claims to have destroyed U.S. radar systems in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state on July 12 at 99.9% YES.

Iran launches retaliatory strikes on Gulf states amid war escalation. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YES.

Bahrain activates air raid sirens amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 12 at 70.5% YES.