US and Iran exchanged fire over the Strait of Hormuz. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 32% YES.

Trump and Iran's supreme leader exchanged threats amid Strait of Hormuz clashes. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 17.5% YES.

Iran warns the US amid rising tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding at 31% YES.

US launches third airstrike round on Iran, escalating conflict. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 23.5% YES.

US and Iran exchanged fire over the Strait of Hormuz. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 32% YES.

US launches new strikes on Iran after it closes the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

US resumes military strikes on Iran amid tensions. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.8% YES.

US-Iran tensions rise as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. War declaration by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES; US strikes on 8 countries in 2026 at 35.2% YES.

US-Iran tensions rise after military strikes end June ceasefire. Next diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.5% YES.

Iran intercepts ships in the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions. Successful targeting of shipping on July 13 at 60.2% YES.

Iran conducts naval exercises in the Strait of Hormuz. Next US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.5% YES.

Iran continues talks with Qatar and Oman to prevent war escalation. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 32.5% YES.

US and Iran exchange strikes over the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran blocks US intervention in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 19% YES.

US-Iran ceasefire collapses, escalating tensions at the Strait of Hormuz. Fewer than 150 ships transiting the strait priced at 63.3% YES.

Iran targets vessels in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 15.5% YES.

Iran targets US bases, escalating conflict. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.1% YES.