Ukraine's active defense operations reduced the pace of Russia's territorial advances by more than half during the first six months of 2026, Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi said on July 10.

Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian ships in the Azov Sea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Zelenskyy claims Ukraine is gaining an edge as Russia loses initiative. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 40.5% YES.