The IEA says renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities threaten to derail expectations of a global oil market surplus despite recovering crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

In its new Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the EIA said last month's US-Iran MOU prompted massive revisions to its prior forecast.

Renewed U.S.-Iran military clashes have sharply reduced tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices higher and renewing fears of supply disruptions.