China conducted a submarine missile test with little notice, causing US concerns. Invasion of Taiwan by December 31, 2027 at 11.5% YES.

China plans to test a nuclear-capable missile in the South Pacific within 24 hours. Military clash between China and Japan before 2027 at 6.5% YES.

Firing of long-range ballistic missile from nuclear-powered submarine marks China’s first such test in Pacific in two years